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This is the cornerstone Gelber natural gas advisory product: An outlook of market drivers for the next 18 months of price action. Your Subscription includes a personal Web Seminar with Art Gelber and Senior Staff, and a progress review and performance "report card" in the Spring when updates and revisions are published in our "Forecast Revisitation" review.

The Review and Forecast is issued every Fall for the forecast period of November 15th forward 18 months, highlighting our projections for front month NYMEX price action.

Recent editions contain about 100 pages of market information and analysis to identify price drivers and industry trends. The Forecast utilizes both fundamental and technical perspective to develop a price outlook for natural gas and provides graphic representation of prices and pricing elements as well as commentary concerning:

• Price
• Weather Dynamics
• Storage Considerations
• Demand Dynamics
• Market Sentiment
• Technical Resistance and Support Levels
• Historical Perspective

The presentation of our work usually lasts 90 minutes with a follow-up session of anothe 30 minutes. Customization is a hallmark of Gelber's advisory work. The granularity of market details can easily be tailored to the varied experience levels of Energy Professionals and Industrial Executives.

It's All in the Geometry

Gelber considers the correlation between actual and forecasted "market geometry" to be the primary parameter for measuring the success of a price forecast. The geometry of the market is the overall shape of pricing for natural gas over a period of time. We understand that predicting an accurate curve for price developments enables participants in the market to clearly know when to enter the market and when not to participate.

2010 Spring Revisitation: Extreme precision with interpolated geometry and actual daily NYMEX closes for the preferred case for the seasonal swing that caught so many market players napping. Gelber anticipated the decline and subsequent rally that slashed a V-shaped geometry on the charts last year.

In contrast, other forecasts focus on accurately predicting absolute price levels and have a tendency towards reforecasting multiple times to predict marginal pricing. By establishing a position on the timing of major market turning points, we have contributed significantly to the overall value of the various clients Gelber has had over the years. In focusing on actual price level as a secondary market forecast parameter, Gelber's clients are often able to buy the market near the lower end of the market and avoid buying in the vicinity of market highs, regardless of the absolute price.